From the Siena Research Institute today (whoever the hell they are):
Scott Murphy (D): 34
Jim Tedisco (R): 46
Slightly better than the internal poll provided by Tedisco’s minions at POS a few weeks ago, but still a double digit lead. To me, it’s a bit of an anomaly since Tedisco’s been absolutely inconsistent about his stance on the stimulus package while Murphy has been the polar opposite, championing it every step of the way.
The plus side is the Siena poll also revealed that Murphy has a much better job at securing support from his base, earning 70% of Democrats’ support as opposed to Tedisco’s 63% of Republicans. Although, considering NY-20 doesn’t have a majority of Democrats, where registered Republicans outnumber them by 15 points, this number is somewhat redundant.
Considering Gillibrand’s endorsement from the NRA, please don’t tell me Murphy seriously needs to go out and say, “I love guns and I love using ’em,” in order to clinch it with voters. That to me is just plain ass kissing at its worst.
during the campaign…they showed Obama up single digits while everyone else had him up 15-20…they even had McCain leading in New York at one point.
We need a Marist or Quinnipiac, they’re the best NY pollsters.
IMO if Siena says we’re down 12, we’re probably down 5.
than Tedisco’s internal which found him up 50% to 29%.
And as others have mentioned, Sienna has a history of GOP bias in New York polls.
Here’s one from September 2008 showing Obama up only 46-41 statewide in New York.
No other poll had Obama doing so poorly in New York, and certainly not as late as September.
I’m actually starting to feel pretty good about this race. People know who Tedisco is, but Murphy has room to grow.